Race 3A

mcsa-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Probst 17.6% 15.9% 16.5% 13.3% 11.3% 10.3% 8.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.8%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 20.9% 18.6% 14.9% 15.2% 11.3% 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Ryder Easterlin 14.5% 14.9% 13.5% 14.6% 14.8% 9.8% 8.9% 7.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Christian Cyrul 13.9% 15.6% 15.4% 13.5% 14.0% 10.8% 8.0% 5.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Liam Walz 7.8% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 10.5% 13.1% 15.2% 14.0% 10.6% 3.5%
Justin Falconer 6.9% 6.4% 7.6% 9.3% 8.5% 14.5% 12.5% 16.5% 11.7% 6.1%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.3% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 5.2% 8.8% 20.1% 53.7%
Carl Eaton 10.3% 12.1% 12.2% 11.9% 14.2% 10.4% 12.2% 10.3% 5.0% 1.4%
Mehmet Karatoprak 3.1% 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.2% 9.8% 10.0% 13.8% 25.6% 21.3%
Bobby Sessions 3.7% 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 7.5% 9.3% 13.6% 16.7% 19.6% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.