Race 4A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Probst 17.6% 16.2% 15.9% 13.0% 12.0% 10.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Ryder Easterlin 14.4% 15.2% 14.7% 13.8% 13.1% 11.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.0% 1.0%
Christian Cyrul 15.2% 12.5% 14.8% 13.6% 15.1% 12.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 20.7% 18.8% 15.3% 15.1% 12.1% 8.1% 5.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Bobby Sessions 4.6% 5.7% 5.5% 7.1% 6.8% 8.5% 11.5% 19.6% 19.9% 10.8%
Carl Eaton 11.9% 10.9% 11.2% 12.1% 12.8% 12.3% 11.3% 10.2% 5.2% 2.1%
Liam Walz 5.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 11.1% 14.4% 14.3% 14.4% 9.5% 4.1%
Justin Falconer 5.6% 7.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.8% 11.3% 14.7% 15.3% 13.6% 5.9%
Mehmet Karatoprak 2.7% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.4% 7.4% 11.3% 14.7% 25.8% 21.0%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 8.0% 18.7% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.