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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+2.10vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+2.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.28+0.53vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+0.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.78-0.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-1.62vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.34-1.58vs Predicted
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9Williams College1.47-0.67vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.84-0.69vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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5.64Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.42Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.33Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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9.31Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.27Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 25.1% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Jones | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Sachs | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 18.3% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 23.9% | 39.9% |
| William McIvor | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 26.3% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.