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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.66+3.80vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.04+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.35+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+0.34vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.97-3.87vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.30-0.66vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.97-0.20vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-1.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.41vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.86-1.27vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.36-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8American University-0.668.7%1st Place
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3.21Drexel University0.2319.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Delaware-1.045.8%1st Place
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6.51University of Maryland-1.353.8%1st Place
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5.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.837.2%1st Place
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2.13Virginia Tech0.9742.8%1st Place
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6.34Princeton University-1.304.6%1st Place
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7.8Rutgers University-1.972.5%1st Place
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7.16Catholic University of America-1.852.6%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Military Academy-2.271.8%1st Place
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9.73Monmouth University-2.860.9%1st Place
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10.6St. John's College-3.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 19.0% | 24.0% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Graziano | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Lara Nielsen | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Henry Powell | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bender | 42.8% | 26.1% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 9.4% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 25.9% | 26.8% |
| August Bellanca | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.