Race 1B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Goulet 13.2% 16.3% 17.1% 16.1% 12.6% 10.1% 6.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.3%
Christian Spencer 46.6% 26.9% 14.7% 7.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Gallagher 11.4% 14.3% 17.4% 15.3% 13.4% 13.7% 7.8% 4.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Katherine O'Donnell 7.6% 12.1% 14.8% 16.7% 15.0% 12.1% 10.1% 7.4% 3.4% 0.8%
Solomon Dworsky 6.4% 8.3% 7.8% 10.8% 12.4% 15.4% 15.0% 11.8% 8.9% 3.2%
Ryan Higgins 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 10.7% 12.5% 22.9% 31.1%
Clara Brown 2.3% 3.7% 4.6% 6.8% 7.5% 11.8% 13.3% 18.0% 20.1% 11.9%
Lucas Kieffer 1.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 5.8% 5.3% 7.0% 11.5% 20.2% 42.8%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 4.2% 4.1% 8.8% 7.8% 11.3% 11.4% 13.8% 17.7% 13.7% 7.2%
Rishab Nayar 4.8% 10.2% 9.1% 12.9% 14.0% 13.3% 15.2% 11.6% 6.4% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.