Race 2B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Clara Brown 3.5% 3.9% 5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 10.0% 13.2% 18.3% 18.2% 12.6%
Christian Spencer 47.7% 26.5% 13.2% 8.1% 2.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Gallagher 11.1% 15.8% 14.1% 15.3% 16.7% 11.5% 8.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Katherine O'Donnell 7.8% 13.3% 14.6% 14.7% 13.8% 14.7% 10.4% 7.1% 3.2% 0.4%
Connor Goulet 12.1% 15.5% 18.9% 17.1% 12.8% 10.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.9%
Rishab Nayar 7.4% 8.9% 8.1% 12.9% 13.9% 13.1% 14.3% 11.8% 7.0% 2.6%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.8% 4.5% 8.5% 7.5% 11.6% 13.4% 14.8% 16.1% 14.4% 6.4%
Solomon Dworsky 5.1% 7.6% 11.5% 10.7% 12.0% 12.7% 15.2% 13.4% 8.5% 3.3%
Lucas Kieffer 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 5.2% 7.4% 10.5% 22.6% 42.1%
Ryan Higgins 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 5.4% 6.8% 8.7% 14.4% 22.9% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.