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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.61+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65-1.00vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.00+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.16+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.16-0.70vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.49-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.99-1.68vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.71-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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2.0University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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4.57Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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5.59Marquette University0.490.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.91Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishab Nayar | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Connor Goulet | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 44.4% | 29.5% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Clara Brown | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 12.4% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 4.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 21.8% | 41.7% |
| Ryan Higgins | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.