← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rishab Nayar 7.1% 7.7% 11.7% 11.4% 13.7% 12.4% 13.4% 13.0% 6.4% 3.2%
Connor Goulet 12.8% 14.6% 15.3% 15.8% 16.1% 11.4% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Christian Spencer 44.4% 29.5% 14.2% 7.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 9.0% 11.1% 14.8% 14.8% 14.9% 14.9% 10.1% 6.2% 3.6% 0.6%
Clara Brown 3.5% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 8.2% 10.2% 11.2% 18.2% 20.1% 12.4%
Kevin Gallagher 13.7% 14.2% 15.7% 16.8% 12.7% 12.4% 7.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.0% 4.7% 7.2% 9.2% 11.1% 12.2% 16.5% 16.4% 12.8% 6.9%
Solomon Dworsky 4.0% 9.4% 10.5% 10.2% 11.6% 14.4% 15.3% 13.1% 7.9% 3.6%
Lucas Kieffer 1.2% 1.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 7.2% 11.3% 21.8% 41.7%
Ryan Higgins 1.3% 2.5% 2.8% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 10.5% 13.2% 23.6% 30.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.