Race 4B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Spencer 48.6% 24.8% 13.7% 7.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Goulet 11.8% 17.4% 16.6% 14.6% 15.4% 10.2% 7.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.9% 12.1% 13.7% 14.3% 14.9% 13.9% 11.4% 7.1% 3.4% 0.3%
Solomon Dworsky 4.3% 7.4% 10.6% 12.6% 12.3% 13.3% 14.7% 12.2% 9.1% 3.5%
Rishab Nayar 6.9% 8.9% 10.2% 10.3% 14.8% 16.5% 13.0% 9.9% 7.5% 2.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 8.7% 10.3% 12.0% 15.3% 15.5% 13.4% 7.4%
Clara Brown 1.8% 3.7% 4.9% 7.6% 7.1% 12.1% 11.5% 19.1% 19.7% 12.5%
Ryan Higgins 1.6% 2.4% 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 7.4% 8.0% 15.2% 22.2% 30.2%
Lucas Kieffer 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 8.5% 11.9% 20.6% 43.4%
Kevin Gallagher 10.1% 15.7% 17.7% 16.7% 13.4% 9.6% 9.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.