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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.28+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.24+2.04vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.00+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+2.90vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.16+0.18vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.71-0.03vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.61-3.74vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.99-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.24-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.48Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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7.97Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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5.26Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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2.37University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Clara Brown | 2.7% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 12.8% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Higgins | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 30.7% |
| Rishab Nayar | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 42.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 37.5% | 25.5% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.