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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+3.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+1.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.28+0.55vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+0.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77-0.41vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78-1.63vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.34-1.57vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85+0.35vs Predicted
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10Williams College1.47-1.78vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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3.0College of Charleston3.950.3%1st Place
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4.11Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida3.280.1%1st Place
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5.65Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.37Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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6.43Clemson University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.35Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.22Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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9.27Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Spector | 27.3% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Jones | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Robert Savoie | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| William McIvor | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 42.1% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 24.5% | 14.6% |
| Alex Lubben | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 25.0% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.