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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.66+3.78vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.17vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.23+0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.35+2.43vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30+1.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.27+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.70vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.85-1.08vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.97-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.04-4.26vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.86-1.19vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.36-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78American University-0.669.5%1st Place
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2.17Virginia Tech0.9740.3%1st Place
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3.22Drexel University0.2319.5%1st Place
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6.43University of Maryland-1.354.5%1st Place
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6.4Princeton University-1.303.4%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Military Academy-2.271.4%1st Place
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5.3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.837.6%1st Place
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6.92Catholic University of America-1.853.9%1st Place
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7.87Rutgers University-1.972.5%1st Place
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5.74University of Delaware-1.045.9%1st Place
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9.81Monmouth University-2.860.9%1st Place
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10.59St. John's College-3.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bender | 40.3% | 27.7% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 19.5% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 11.9% |
| Henry Powell | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Mia Graziano | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 27.4% | 28.8% |
| August Bellanca | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.