← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Katherine O'Donnell 10.6% 13.5% 13.8% 13.6% 13.3% 12.9% 10.7% 6.8% 3.7% 1.1%
Solomon Dworsky 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 10.8% 12.2% 14.0% 14.6% 13.5% 9.3% 3.1%
Clara Brown 4.0% 2.9% 4.9% 6.6% 7.1% 9.6% 14.8% 17.6% 19.8% 12.7%
Connor Goulet 13.3% 17.4% 16.2% 15.2% 13.6% 10.1% 9.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Ryan Higgins 1.8% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 6.5% 6.3% 7.6% 14.2% 23.0% 29.8%
Samuel Bartel 38.7% 24.7% 16.6% 10.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Gallagher 12.4% 15.9% 16.0% 15.4% 14.6% 13.5% 6.7% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9%
Rishab Nayar 6.7% 8.5% 12.2% 11.0% 12.6% 14.5% 13.8% 11.8% 6.1% 2.8%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% 9.4% 10.5% 12.2% 13.4% 17.4% 14.3% 6.8%
Lucas Kieffer 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 8.2% 12.7% 20.4% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.