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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Bartel 37.8% 26.9% 16.2% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Clara Brown 4.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.3% 7.2% 8.6% 12.8% 16.3% 20.1% 15.9%
Connor Goulet 14.1% 15.4% 13.8% 16.2% 15.0% 10.6% 7.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Rishab Nayar 6.3% 8.3% 10.9% 11.3% 14.4% 14.6% 12.7% 9.9% 8.7% 2.9%
Katherine O'Donnell 11.5% 12.3% 12.5% 14.6% 14.6% 12.6% 10.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.1%
Kevin Gallagher 13.5% 15.5% 16.0% 17.3% 12.4% 9.5% 7.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.4%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.7% 4.9% 8.0% 6.9% 10.5% 13.2% 14.6% 15.7% 14.1% 8.4%
Solomon Dworsky 5.5% 7.7% 11.2% 10.3% 10.8% 13.7% 14.7% 12.7% 9.2% 4.2%
Mitchell Irwin 2.3% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 6.6% 9.9% 10.5% 15.7% 23.6% 18.5%
Lucas Kieffer 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 2.9% 4.5% 7.5% 12.0% 16.4% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.