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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.16+4.99vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.28+1.04vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.61+1.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.00-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.16-0.64vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.49-2.39vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.33-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-0.99-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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6.99University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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5.36Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.52Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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5.61Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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7.31Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 37.8% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Clara Brown | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 15.9% |
| Connor Goulet | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rishab Nayar | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 8.4% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 23.6% | 18.5% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.