Race 8B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Bartel 38.5% 24.9% 16.1% 9.3% 5.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Clara Brown 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.8% 8.0% 14.0% 16.6% 21.0% 15.2%
Connor Goulet 14.4% 13.5% 16.1% 14.7% 15.5% 11.5% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Rishab Nayar 5.9% 8.9% 10.8% 12.0% 12.3% 15.9% 11.7% 11.0% 8.1% 3.4%
Solomon Dworsky 6.6% 9.6% 7.9% 9.7% 11.6% 12.8% 15.4% 13.7% 8.6% 4.1%
Kevin Gallagher 13.7% 14.5% 17.2% 15.1% 13.5% 11.2% 7.6% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Katherine O'Donnell 10.2% 11.2% 15.2% 15.8% 12.9% 12.9% 10.0% 6.1% 4.5% 1.2%
Lucas Kieffer 0.8% 2.8% 1.7% 2.9% 4.2% 5.4% 7.8% 10.4% 16.8% 47.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.8% 6.9% 5.7% 8.7% 9.6% 12.1% 13.6% 17.8% 13.0% 8.8%
Mitchell Irwin 2.2% 3.5% 4.3% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 11.0% 14.5% 23.8% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.