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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+3.05vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.61-0.65vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.00-2.42vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.49-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame1.24-4.93vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.33-2.68vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-0.99-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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4.05University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.35Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.58Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University0.490.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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7.32Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 46.9% | 27.1% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 12.0% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| Clara Brown | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| Rishab Nayar | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 11.4% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 18.7% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.