← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Spencer 46.9% 27.1% 13.3% 7.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Goulet 12.0% 14.3% 18.2% 16.9% 13.3% 10.7% 8.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.7% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.6% 11.6% 12.8% 18.1% 16.6% 8.0%
Clara Brown 1.8% 3.9% 4.2% 7.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.4% 17.7% 18.9% 15.5%
Rishab Nayar 7.0% 8.0% 11.1% 10.9% 13.8% 14.3% 13.4% 10.1% 8.2% 3.2%
Katherine O'Donnell 9.5% 11.6% 15.1% 14.6% 13.5% 13.3% 10.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
Solomon Dworsky 4.8% 6.8% 10.2% 10.3% 13.8% 13.1% 15.2% 13.2% 8.9% 3.7%
Kevin Gallagher 11.4% 16.8% 15.1% 17.0% 14.1% 10.0% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Mitchell Irwin 2.0% 3.6% 4.1% 5.6% 6.6% 9.5% 11.2% 16.1% 22.6% 18.7%
Lucas Kieffer 0.9% 1.7% 2.8% 2.5% 3.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.9% 17.4% 49.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.