Race 10B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Goulet 14.1% 15.9% 16.9% 14.1% 13.3% 11.1% 8.0% 3.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Christian Spencer 46.6% 26.6% 14.9% 8.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Gallagher 10.9% 14.0% 16.3% 15.3% 15.9% 13.1% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Clara Brown 1.9% 4.1% 4.8% 7.1% 7.9% 8.9% 13.1% 18.3% 19.2% 14.7%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 4.2% 6.2% 7.0% 8.7% 8.7% 12.4% 14.1% 15.6% 14.4% 8.7%
Rishab Nayar 7.2% 8.4% 10.0% 10.4% 14.5% 15.5% 12.8% 10.1% 7.8% 3.3%
Katherine O'Donnell 7.5% 11.1% 14.8% 17.5% 13.6% 12.1% 10.6% 8.2% 3.9% 0.7%
Mitchell Irwin 2.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 7.7% 9.0% 11.6% 15.2% 22.1% 19.5%
Lucas Kieffer 1.1% 1.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 8.2% 11.1% 17.6% 47.9%
Solomon Dworsky 4.5% 8.3% 8.3% 11.1% 12.4% 13.4% 14.5% 12.9% 10.3% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.