Race 11B

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Spencer 47.8% 25.1% 14.5% 6.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Brown 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 6.8% 6.9% 9.9% 12.8% 15.3% 21.3% 15.4%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.7% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 12.7% 15.5% 15.6% 16.4% 8.2%
Connor Goulet 10.8% 17.1% 17.3% 16.3% 12.8% 11.9% 7.4% 4.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Kevin Gallagher 12.6% 14.7% 14.7% 16.6% 15.7% 10.9% 8.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Solomon Dworsky 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 10.8% 12.3% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5% 8.8% 3.7%
Katherine O'Donnell 8.3% 10.7% 15.9% 16.2% 14.9% 13.6% 8.3% 7.8% 3.2% 1.1%
Rishab Nayar 4.5% 9.8% 12.1% 10.7% 14.2% 12.6% 13.4% 11.8% 7.7% 3.2%
Lucas Kieffer 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 11.3% 17.3% 47.8%
Mitchell Irwin 1.9% 3.4% 3.7% 6.2% 6.5% 8.6% 13.2% 15.1% 21.8% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.