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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+6.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.69vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.99vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+1.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24+1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+0.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+2.39vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-1.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.12vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-0.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.23-4.76vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-1.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.41vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.29vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.12-8.03vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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4.72Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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16.29Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.16Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.5% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Conner Harding | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Colin Richards | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 8.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 7.9% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 56.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 26.1% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.