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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.96vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.72vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+3.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+2.89vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.61vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12+0.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05+3.07vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-2.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-0.86vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-1.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.53vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-7.66vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.56-8.84vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.71vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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16.29Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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14.12Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 9.0% |
| Conner Harding | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 57.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.