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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+4.67vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.23vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.23+0.37vs Predicted
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4American University-0.66+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.04+1.12vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.30+0.87vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.59+0.53vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.85-0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.27+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.69-4.94vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.27-1.85vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.86-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.5%1st Place
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2.23Virginia Tech0.9739.9%1st Place
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3.37Drexel University0.2319.9%1st Place
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5.26American University-0.667.3%1st Place
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6.12University of Delaware-1.045.5%1st Place
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6.87Princeton University-1.304.0%1st Place
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7.53Rutgers University-1.592.5%1st Place
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7.49Catholic University of America-1.852.8%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Military Academy-2.271.5%1st Place
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5.06University of Maryland-0.698.3%1st Place
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9.15St. John's College-2.271.2%1st Place
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10.14Monmouth University-2.860.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Henry Powell | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Zachary Bender | 39.9% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Aidan Gurskis | 19.9% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
James Cottage | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Mia Graziano | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
Johnny Leadingham | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
Nadine Rouba | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
John Anthony Caraig | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 5.4% |
Sarra Salah | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
Anthony Thonnard | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Tyson Hammer | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
Cheyenne Fair | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.