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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+3.08vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+3.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+0.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.11-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.88-0.17vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50-0.31vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.75+1.76vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.16-1.70vs Predicted
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9Williams College0.22+0.67vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.43-4.38vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.55Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.71Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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2.62College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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4.83University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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5.69Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.76Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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6.3Clemson University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.67Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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5.62Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.16Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 32.4% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Felder | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Julie Webster | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 28.7% | 20.9% |
| Drew Lisicki | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 46.5% |
| Walker Banks | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| John Hodges | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 18.9% | 27.9% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.