← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.48+6.56vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.24+6.51vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.12+6.02vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.24+0.74vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.53+2.18vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.45vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.56+0.05vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.30vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.45+2.38vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.60+1.09vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.23+1.34vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.23-3.37vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.09-4.29vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.63vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.49-7.69vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.35-8.05vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.70vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.39-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.56Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.51Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.02Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
4.74Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
7.18Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.38Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
11.09Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.63Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
12.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
7.31Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
16.3Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
14.71Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
| Conner Harding | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 6.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 17.9% | 56.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 26.7% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.