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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+6.54vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.23+10.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.29vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+10.61vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.72+11.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-1.32vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53+0.19vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+3.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-0.82vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.03vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-4.37vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-6.86vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.19vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-7.57vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.24vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.60-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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14.61Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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16.1Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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4.68Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 22.7% | 25.2% |
| Mott Blair | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 53.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 7.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.