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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+3.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+2.33vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.24vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-0.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-2.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-0.97vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-5.50vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.57vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.96vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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16.25Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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14.67Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.0% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 9.7% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 4.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 55.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 26.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.