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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+5.55vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+12.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.72vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49+1.35vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-0.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23+1.29vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-0.22vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+1.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.09-5.34vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.41vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.12-7.18vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.99vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.23-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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16.1Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.65Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mott Blair | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 16.6% | 53.4% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 22.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 7.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.