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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+4.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+2.15vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.67vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.53vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.41vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.23+0.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.09-4.25vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-4.19vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-8.08vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-2.56vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.48-10.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.61Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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16.15Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.44Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 54.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 25.8% | 20.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.