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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.31vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+6.02vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+7.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+2.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+1.96vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24+0.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-1.64vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23+1.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.13vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.65vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-4.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-1.64vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.23-8.38vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.84Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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16.14Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.0% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 6.4% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Joey Lark | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 24.6% | 19.3% |
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 16.4% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.