← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.56+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+5.72vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.37vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.60+6.60vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.23+3.06vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.45+5.33vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.24-2.34vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.48-0.84vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.53-1.70vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.72+5.65vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.23+0.99vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.24-3.78vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.49-5.62vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.12-5.20vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.28vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.64vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.09-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.6Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.06Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.33Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
4.66Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
7.16Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.3Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
15.65Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.99University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.22Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.38Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.8Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
-
7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Conner Harding | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 65.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 9.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 10.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.