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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.74vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+2.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49+0.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.52vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23+1.84vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-3.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.82vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.52vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-6.65vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-3.94vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.76-5.98vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.07Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.52Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.1% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Conner Harding | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 10.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Mott Blair | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 66.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.