← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.49+6.01vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.12+6.50vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.56+3.97vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.24+0.71vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.45+5.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.76+4.17vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.48+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.24+0.02vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.53-1.80vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.60-0.32vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.35-4.32vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.50vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.23-5.66vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.37vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.23-4.07vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.01Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.97Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
4.71Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
10.93Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.17University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
7.22Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.02Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.2Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.68Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.68Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
15.5Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.34Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.93University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 3.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 66.2% |
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.