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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+6.01vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+4.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+1.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+1.39vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+1.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+1.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.83vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45+0.21vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-1.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.23-5.71vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-4.48vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.71vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.69Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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15.64Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.1% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 5.3% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 9.3% |
| Conner Harding | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 10.2% |
| Mott Blair | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 12.9% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.