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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.38vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+1.57vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+2.29vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.47+1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.09vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.04-1.59vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-2.27+0.19vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-2.86+0.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.67vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.59-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Virginia Tech0.9737.4%1st Place
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3.57Drexel University0.2317.8%1st Place
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5.29American University-0.667.5%1st Place
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5.16Princeton University-0.477.9%1st Place
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5.25University of Maryland-0.698.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.837.0%1st Place
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7.53Catholic University of America-1.853.4%1st Place
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6.41University of Delaware-1.045.1%1st Place
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9.19St. John's College-2.271.4%1st Place
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10.38Monmouth University-2.860.4%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Military Academy-2.271.1%1st Place
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7.62Rutgers University-1.593.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 37.4% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 17.8% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Cottage | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Powell | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
| Mia Graziano | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 19.8% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 46.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 19.6% |
| Nadine Rouba | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.