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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+3.00vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.43+3.74vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.68vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.88-0.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-2.41vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.11-4.51vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.16-1.74vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.75-0.09vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-0.37vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.74Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.78Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.78University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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3.59Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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2.49College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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6.26Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.91Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.63Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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9.14Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 11.6% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| William Felder | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 17.1% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 35.8% | 24.0% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Julie Webster | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 20.6% | 28.8% | 23.7% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 23.7% | 45.7% |
| John Hodges | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 19.8% | 29.4% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.