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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Billing 11.6% 17.5% 15.5% 14.6% 15.8% 12.5% 7.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Walker Banks 5.6% 6.8% 8.8% 10.9% 11.5% 14.6% 14.0% 14.3% 9.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Robert Lippincott 6.4% 6.5% 8.9% 10.1% 12.6% 13.4% 14.7% 15.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6%
Joseph Turchiano 5.6% 6.6% 7.5% 10.9% 12.3% 13.3% 15.3% 15.7% 9.4% 2.9% 0.5%
William Felder 9.8% 12.2% 11.9% 12.5% 14.3% 12.2% 11.2% 9.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Stephanie Hudson 17.1% 18.3% 19.5% 15.4% 10.0% 9.3% 5.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Banholzer 35.8% 24.0% 17.2% 10.7% 6.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Drew Lisicki 5.1% 4.9% 6.4% 9.5% 9.4% 12.3% 15.5% 16.5% 12.6% 6.7% 1.1%
Julie Webster 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 8.4% 20.6% 28.8% 23.7%
Joshua Revkin 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 4.1% 5.8% 12.6% 23.7% 45.7%
John Hodges 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 5.3% 6.6% 19.8% 29.4% 27.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.