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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+8.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+7.50vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+5.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14+0.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-0.34vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-1.64vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-1.86vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.43vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-0.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-6.52vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-3.11vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.48vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.06Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.89Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.35Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 6.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 29.0% | 31.3% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 22.5% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.