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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.17vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+6.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.55vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+2.67vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+2.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+0.40vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-0.97vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+3.24vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-1.80vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82+1.00vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-4.98vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.14-6.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.10vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.45vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.55vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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13.24Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.31Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 7.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 6.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 30.5% | 29.8% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.