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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+5.86vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+5.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+4.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14+1.85vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+0.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.03vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-0.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-2.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.15vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-5.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-1.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.12vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.54vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-4.04vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.34Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 6.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 30.4% | 29.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 6.4% |
| Luke Healy | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 21.2% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.