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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+7.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+6.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+3.07vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.73vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+2.37vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.30-0.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-1.73vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-0.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+4.54vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-3.65vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-1.01vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-7.42vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.84-6.71vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.85vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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15.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.15Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.4Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cole Harris | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 28.3% | 32.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 5.6% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 5.6% |
| Luke Healy | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 22.7% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.