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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+7.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.57vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+5.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+2.99vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+1.75vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+1.20vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.74+4.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-3.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.14-2.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.30-4.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.42vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.55vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-7.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.80-6.48vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.88vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.18Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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15.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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13.12Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.42Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 6.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Harris | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 29.6% | 28.5% |
| Emily Haig | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 21.1% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.