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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+7.39vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+5.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+5.07vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+4.66vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+3.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.74+4.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.80-0.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-3.00vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.30-4.19vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.26vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-4.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-9.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-1.78vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.55vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.22Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.96Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.22Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.61Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 4.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Harris | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 11.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 32.1% | 24.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.