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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+6.29vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+4.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.30+2.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+1.30vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+2.32vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+4.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-3.84vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-2.62vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-3.81vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-3.71vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-0.84vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.36vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.21vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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14.16Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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16.79Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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15.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Cole Harris | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 9.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 17.6% | 62.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 33.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.