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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+6.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+3.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14+2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+2.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-1.78vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-1.88vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-2.12vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.30-4.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.52vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-1.22vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-0.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-6.65vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.55vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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14.16Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.61Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cole Harris | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 4.4% |
| Anthony Root | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 22.3% | 10.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 32.6% | 25.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 21.0% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.