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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+5.23vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+1.73vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.97-0.66vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.85+3.86vs Predicted
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5American University-0.66+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.07+0.60vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.47-1.60vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-0.86-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.69-3.61vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.97-1.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.65vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.86-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.5%1st Place
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3.73Drexel University0.2315.8%1st Place
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2.34Virginia Tech0.9738.5%1st Place
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7.86Catholic University of America-1.852.7%1st Place
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5.5American University-0.667.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Delaware-1.075.8%1st Place
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5.4Princeton University-0.478.3%1st Place
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6.24St. John's College-0.865.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Maryland-0.697.4%1st Place
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8.81Rutgers University-1.971.8%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Military Academy-2.271.7%1st Place
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10.55Monmouth University-2.860.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Powell | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 15.8% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 38.5% | 25.2% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 6.2% |
| James Cottage | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Koly | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Silas Hodges | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 14.6% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 24.0% | 24.1% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 20.1% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.