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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.61vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+3.61vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51-0.31vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+0.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.88-2.34vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.16-1.69vs Predicted
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9Williams College0.22+0.64vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.75-1.11vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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5.61Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.69Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.01Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.66University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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6.31Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.64Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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8.89Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.16Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 32.0% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 15.9% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Walker Banks | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Billing | 14.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Felder | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 46.6% |
| Julie Webster | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 29.6% | 21.3% |
| John Hodges | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 18.6% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.