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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.08vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+5.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+5.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+4.87vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+3.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+2.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.00vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.30-0.63vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82+0.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-2.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36+0.02vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-3.47vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-5.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.72vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.80-6.62vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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14.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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16.1Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 16.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Christian Filter | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Harris | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 2.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 39.0% | 29.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 21.1% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.