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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.30+5.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+2.02vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+3.02vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+2.31vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-0.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14-0.74vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-2.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36+0.02vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.94vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-4.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.74vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.93-9.75vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.06vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.80-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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16.06Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cole Harris | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 1.9% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 38.1% | 30.5% |
| Christian Filter | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 22.3% | 64.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.