← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.30+6.16vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.72+3.77vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.04vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.97+4.61vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.14+2.78vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.82+3.33vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.35+0.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.80+1.04vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.20-1.08vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.93-4.85vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.20-3.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.93-3.28vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.39vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.74-1.17vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.27vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.09-7.80vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
-
5.77Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.61Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.78Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.33Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.19Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.04University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.92Boston College3.200.0%1st Place
-
5.15Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.93Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
12.83Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
14.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.2Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
-
16.01Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Harris | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 23.2% | 21.8% | 5.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 36.7% | 27.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 20.7% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.