Race 3 - nwicsa-co-ed-champs | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.7

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Andrew Wilkinson & Kaden Ashdown

Oregon State University

0.21

+1.45

vs Predicted
2

Karl Skeel & Avery Wolf

University of Washington

1.74

-0.61

vs Predicted
3

Niko Twilla & Rebecca Sharp

Western Washington University

0.12

-0.43

vs Predicted
4

Marelie Vorster & Mandy Watson

University of Oregon

-1.29

-0.41

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.45

Andrew Wilkinson & Kaden Ashdown

Oregon State University

0.21

0.2%

1st Place
1.39

Karl Skeel & Avery Wolf

University of Washington

1.74

0.7%

1st Place
2.57

Niko Twilla & Rebecca Sharp

Western Washington University

0.12

0.1%

1st Place
3.59

Marelie Vorster & Mandy Watson

University of Oregon

-1.29

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Andrew Wilkinson	16.0%	35.6%	35.8%	12.6%
Karl Skeel	68.4%	25.2%	5.8%	0.6%
Niko Twilla	13.5%	30.5%	41.5%	14.5%
Marelie Vorster	2.1%	8.7%	16.9%	72.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.