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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.44vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+1.70vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.47+2.50vs Predicted
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4American University-0.66+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.14vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-0.86+0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.07-0.42vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.97+0.78vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.69-4.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.60vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.86-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Virginia Tech0.9736.4%1st Place
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3.7Drexel University0.2317.1%1st Place
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5.5Princeton University-0.477.4%1st Place
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5.56American University-0.666.8%1st Place
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6.14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.9%1st Place
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6.2St. John's College-0.865.7%1st Place
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6.58University of Delaware-1.075.4%1st Place
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8.78Rutgers University-1.971.8%1st Place
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7.84Catholic University of America-1.853.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Maryland-0.698.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Military Academy-2.271.8%1st Place
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10.44Monmouth University-2.860.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 36.4% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 17.1% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| James Cottage | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Powell | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Silas Hodges | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Koly | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 14.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 6.1% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 24.1% | 24.5% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.