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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+4.62vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.16+4.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.11-0.35vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.88-0.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-2.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.53+2.11vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.75+0.86vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50-3.30vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-0.40vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.43-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.34Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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2.65College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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4.06Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.8University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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3.64Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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9.11Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.86Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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5.7Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.6Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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5.6Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 4.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 30.6% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 13.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Felder | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 19.0% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Hodges | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 30.9% |
| Julie Webster | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 27.2% | 22.9% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 26.7% | 42.8% |
| Walker Banks | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.