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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.67vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75+1.86vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17-2.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80+2.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.66-1.98vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-3.47vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.01vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-1.62vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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9.6California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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2.84Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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8.17University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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6.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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5.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.38San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.6California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 18.1% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 30.4% | 23.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 48.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.