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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+1.70vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.15+6.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+0.57vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.97vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.66-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.80-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.28-5.77vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.15vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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8.85California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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5.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.85California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.46San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.5% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 25.1% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 18.4% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 25.1% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 47.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.