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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.46vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+3.78vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.75+0.51vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-0.64vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.66-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.28-5.78vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.31vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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5.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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2.77Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.69California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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8.69California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.43San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 17.8% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 28.5% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 20.4% | 46.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.