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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.66+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.89+1.21vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.65vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.71vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.75-2.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.80-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.95vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.29vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.87-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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2.58Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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5.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.71California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.71California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.01San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 18.5% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 34.0% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 30.4% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 30.4% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 62.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.