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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.76vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.89+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75-0.63vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.93vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.80-2.67vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.31vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.87-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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5.14University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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5.07California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.69California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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8.69California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.03San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 33.9% | 24.9% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 19.3% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 32.4% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 32.4% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 64.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.