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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+1.93vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.88-0.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50-0.35vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.16-0.82vs Predicted
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8Williams College0.22+1.65vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.43-3.15vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.75-1.14vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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3.93Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.68Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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4.82University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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5.65Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.18Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.65Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.86Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.14Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 32.8% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 14.5% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Felder | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 24.9% | 44.4% |
| Walker Banks | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Julie Webster | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 26.5% | 23.6% |
| John Hodges | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 17.9% | 29.8% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.