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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.32vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+1.55vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.72vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.59+2.59vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85+1.40vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.69-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.07-1.68vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.47-3.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.07vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.86-1.05vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.36-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Virginia Tech0.9737.4%1st Place
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3.55Drexel University0.2318.3%1st Place
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5.34American University-0.667.2%1st Place
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5.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.1%1st Place
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7.59Rutgers University-1.593.0%1st Place
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7.4Catholic University of America-1.852.4%1st Place
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5.04University of Maryland-0.699.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Delaware-1.075.3%1st Place
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5.07Princeton University-0.478.6%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Military Academy-2.271.2%1st Place
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9.95Monmouth University-2.860.9%1st Place
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10.77St. John's College-3.360.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 37.4% | 27.2% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 18.3% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Powell | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nadine Rouba | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Koly | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 11.7% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 29.6% | 28.3% |
| August Bellanca | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 21.4% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.