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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 32.8% 25.0% 17.2% 11.8% 7.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Billing 14.5% 15.1% 17.8% 15.7% 11.7% 11.5% 6.9% 5.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.6% 7.4% 7.6% 10.8% 12.0% 13.7% 14.8% 14.2% 9.5% 3.0% 0.4%
Stephanie Hudson 16.9% 16.9% 16.9% 15.5% 14.3% 9.3% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
William Felder 10.3% 11.5% 11.1% 12.4% 13.2% 13.6% 12.4% 9.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Joseph Turchiano 5.5% 8.1% 10.1% 9.2% 12.1% 13.1% 15.5% 13.5% 8.5% 3.9% 0.5%
Drew Lisicki 5.2% 5.7% 7.1% 8.1% 10.7% 12.0% 15.6% 15.3% 13.6% 5.5% 1.2%
Joshua Revkin 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 2.5% 3.1% 6.4% 13.6% 24.9% 44.4%
Walker Banks 5.7% 7.1% 8.1% 10.3% 11.8% 12.1% 14.2% 14.8% 10.2% 4.3% 1.4%
Julie Webster 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 4.5% 5.7% 10.0% 20.0% 26.5% 23.6%
John Hodges 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 4.7% 7.6% 17.9% 29.8% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.