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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+5.14vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.57vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.70vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.44vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.75-3.29vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+0.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-3.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-3.80vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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4.56University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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6.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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10.26San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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9.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.8% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 19.3% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 46.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.